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McKinsey: in 2021, the investment in quantum computing market grew strongly and the talent gap expanded

2022-06-23 04:42:00 Qforepost

( picture source : The Internet

From slowing global warming to reducing drug discovery time 、 change “ The rules of the game ”, Quantum technology has the potential to solve some of the world's most intractable challenges .

In McKinsey's latest quantum technology monitoring research ,2021 In, the capital investment in quantum computing market continued to soar , Its common goal is to promote the technology to achieve the ultimate value . among , Pharmacy 、 chemical 、 The four major industries of automobile and finance are expected to become the key beneficiary industries of quantum advantage , The study predicts , Arrive at the earliest 2035 year , Quantum computing will produce nearly 7000 Billion dollars worth . McKinsey's analysis points out that , The fields of financial services and life sciences will be the use cases for quantum computing to play the highest value for a long time ( Chart 1).

However , With the rapid development of quantum technology , The demand for experts and talents in this field began to be scarce . this paper , McKinsey yeah 2021 Capital market of quantum technology development in 、 The talent gap is analyzed , And made a detailed observation of the major scientific progress that is taking place in China .

Chart 1( picture source : Mckinsey

2021 year , Double the financing of quantum start-ups

McKinsey found out , Past year , Quantum focused startups have more than doubled the amount of financing they receive , from 2020 Year of 7 Billion dollars to 2021 Year of 14 Billion dollars ( As shown in the chart 2).

Chart 2( picture source : Mckinsey

among , The share from venture capital and other private investment is 2021 Increased in the second half of the year , Of the total investment 70% above ( higher than 2021 year 9 Of the month 50%), This shows that there is a growing belief that the technology will provide a return .

On a global scale ,49% Private investment still comes from American companies , Next is the UK (17%) And Canada (14%). so far , Only about... Of the private investment in this field 6% In China, .

In the three main fields of quantum technology ( Quantum computing 、 Quantum sensing 、 Quantum communication ) in , Quantum computing attracts the largest share of investment , To 2021 At the end of the year, the field gained 30 Billion dollar financing . This is because quantum computing is the biggest potential market , Expect to 2040 The year will exceed 900 Billion dollars .

The investment activities of quantum sensing and quantum communication are 2021 It also increased in the second half of the year , The total investment amounts to 4 $and 7 Billion dollars ( front 6 Months is 3 $and 6 Billion dollars ).

In the U.S. , The government is more willing to provide financial support for these areas than private investors . But more than half of American public funds are used in quantum computing , The rest are used for quantum sensing and communication .

The entry threshold for new quantum start-ups has risen

2021 In the second half of the year , A large number of new quantum computing startups have been established , Include 15 A new company .

meanwhile , stay 2021 year , A quantum computing startup has made history as the first listed company ; And the old technology enterprises continue to strengthen the partnership in this field , Bring end-to-end solutions to the market .

Chart 3( picture source : Mckinsey

However , Compared to three years ago , The speed at which new quantum technology start-ups enter the global market may begin to slow down ( Chart 3), McKinsey believes there are many reasons for this .

First , In about 65% Driven by capital investment , The quantum hardware market is saturated , Raised the threshold for new entrants ; secondly , Although the investment amount is large , However, due to the immaturity of hardware, it is unable to support a wide range of use cases , It limits the development opportunities of emerging quantum software players ; meanwhile , Investors' preference for more mature start-ups may further inhibit other investment activities , Most of the money (90%) Will select input completed A、B、C and D The company of the ship .

Besides , The lack of talent may also play a role in boosting .

China's quantum technology has ushered in a period of rapid development

A large amount of money from the Chinese government has helped accelerate scientific progress and the development of quantum technology .

Quantum technology as the fourteenth five year plan (2021-2025 year ) Part of , The Chinese government announced that its financial support in this field is by far the largest among all countries . It is more than twice the investment of the EU government (153 Million pairs 72 Billion dollars )、 More than eight times the investment of the US government ( Chart 4).

Chart 4( picture source : Mckinsey

This has promoted the development of more than a dozen quantum technology research institutions in China , And create an environment conducive to the rapid development of this technology . at present , China holds more than half of the world's quantum technology patents , by comparison , The European Union and the United States are 11% and 10%( Chart 5).

Chart 5( picture source : Mckinsey

The talent gap has widened

As the ecosystem of quantum technology participants expands , The demand for talents in this field is also expanding . The McKinsey study found that , The talent gap is expanding significantly . By comparing the job recruitment demand of quantum computing talents with the annual number of graduates , It is found that the gap is as high as 1:3( Chart 6).

Chart 6( picture source : Mckinsey

McKinsey believes , To narrow this gap , One way is to improve the professional skills of undergraduates by further developing the master's degree program . However, although a large number of universities have set up research projects specializing in quantum technology , But around the world , There are still relatively few universities offering master's degrees in quantum technology (176 There are only 29 the ), And almost half of these projects (41%) In the U.S. .

Link to the original text :

https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/quantum-computing-funding-remains-strong-but-talent-gap-raises-concern

writing :Mateusz Masiowski etc.

compile : Wang Yan

edit : Mu Yi

notes : Ben Translated from “ Mckinsey , Do not represent Quantum outpost view .

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