2022 AI trend 8 forecast!

Hello, friends , I am a rumor.

I didn't expect a year to pass so quickly , Seems to have just finished OKR, To finish flag, It's skiing season .

Today we won't roll technology , To recommend a copy of stateof.ai Produced 2021 AI Annual report , It contains five important conclusions ：

1. Research：2021 Year of AI Review of important scientific research progress

2. Talent：AI Market supply and demand of talents

3. Industry：AI Different attempts at business

4. Politics：AI In policy 、 The economic impact

5. Predictions： The next year AI Progress forecast

This 188 page PPT The report was prepared by a well-known venture capital firm Air Street Capital Partners Nathan Benaich And investment 100+ Angel investors in startups Ian Hogarth Co authored , This series of reports starts from 2018 Has been writing continuously since 4 year . In addition to the two main authors , There are many researchers 、 Institutions and reviewer Check , It has both depth and breadth , covers AI In every way .

Even if I haven't read a paper this year , And don't miss this report , Maybe it inspired one of my own idea, Take off locally ！

Let's take you to pick the key points and read them quickly , If you need to download it, you can download it at Datawhale Public backstage reply 「21 The report 」.

One 、 Summary of progress

Research

1. stay 2021 year ,Transformer Structure except NLP Out of task , In voice 、CV And other fields , Gradually becoming a universal structure

2. Large language models are expanding in size , And every country has its own language model

3. AI-first Methods have swept the field of biology , In protein 、RNA It has a high degree of simulation

4. Google's JAX Deep learning framework is used by more and more researchers

Talent

1. from 1980 So far this year , The number of scientific and technological publications published in Chinese universities has risen rapidly

2. As large technology companies choose to cooperate with top universities ,AI research The differentiation of is becoming more and more serious

3. The computing resources of academic organizations are insufficient , and 88% The top of AI The college can be sponsored by large technology companies

Industry

1. The ecosystem of artificial intelligence and data companies has matured significantly , A large number of IPO, Marks the beginning of their entry AI Application deployment phase

2. The two companies take advantage of AI Complete drug development and marketing , success IP, Indicates AI Potential in medicine

3. AI The product has been successfully implemented in various high-risk fields , For example, the national grid of England 、 Employee health and safety 、 And warehousing

4. AI The community began to re focus on the data problem in the application , such as bias, drift, specification, labels etc.

5. As countries seek supply chain sovereignty and control over NVIDIA Arm Investigate the acquisition , Semiconductor related companies have accelerated significantly

Politics

1. AI It has been used by the military of various countries ： Development of automatic weapons , And will conduct more tests regularly

2. AI Safety is now the top priority , But less than 50 Researchers work full-time in this field

3. New experiments on AI governance emerge: totally distributed + open source, private + open source, and public benefit corporation

4. Europe has begun to respond to AI Supervision of

Two 、 forecast

In the past year ,AI Not only in the basic NLP、CV、 Voice tasks have been greatly improved , In medicine 、 chemical 、 game RL There are also bright applications . For the next 2022 year , The authors did the following 8 Point prediction ：

1. Transformer Will replace the recurrent neural network , And RL Joint learning of world knowledge , Surpass humans in more complex game environments

2. Netherlands ASML company （ The most advanced lithography machine manufacturer ） The market value of will reach 500 Billion

3. Anthropic publishes on the level of GPT, Dota, AlphaGo to establish itself as a third pole of AGI research

4. AI Semiconductor companies will usher in a wave of consolidation ,Graphcore、Cerebras、SambaNova、Groq or Mythic At least one of them has been acquired by a large technology company or a major semiconductor company

5. Transformer+CNN The hybrid model will achieve... With less than ten times the parameters ImageNet top-1 Of SOTA（ At present, it is CoAtNet-7, 90.88%, 2.44B params）

6. DeepMind An important development will be announced in the field of physics

7. stay PapersWithCode Created monthly repos On ,JAX The of the framework will be from 1% Growth to 5%

8. There will be a company focusing on vertical industries AGI Research company

From this report , Although the Internet dividend peaked , but AI In other fields, it is still in the initial stage of development , There are still many opportunities to be explored . I wish you all find your own blue ocean as soon as possible .

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